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LECTURE 6:  EXAMPLES OF EVOLUTION BY NATURAL SELECTION (Cont.)

I.     Experiments in Nature: Demonstrating Qualitative Agreement with equation for gene
       frequency change (Continued from last lecture).

      A.  Industrial melanism in Biston betularia (see H.B.D. Kettelwell.  1973.  Industrial Melanism.  Oxford Univ. Press,
           Oxford, U.K.)

          1.  Industrial melanism--the phenomenon

              a.  Many moths in Britain come in two different colors, a lighter "natural" form, and a darker, melanic form.
              b.  The melanic form is in all ways similar to the natural form except that it produces a much greater amount of
                   melanin, the pigment that gives its wings their dark coloration.
              c.  In Biston betularia, Kettlewell and his group have performed crosses that have demonstrated that a single
                   gene controls the difference between natural and melanic morphs.

          2.  Historical records

              a.  In the last 150 years, the relative preponderance of the two morphs has changed dramatically.
              b.  Old collections from the early 1800's show that the pepper morph was far and away the most abundant morph.
                   Melanic morph was collected only very rarely.
              c.  Beginning in the early to mid 1800's, however, melanic form increased in abundance dramatically, until today,
                   in some areas virtually all moths are melanic.
              d.  There has thus clearly been a dramatic change in gene frequencies, i.e. evolution has occurred.

          3.  Observation:  the change in morph frequencies corresponded with the onset of the industrial revolution in Britain.
               One consequence of the industrial revolution was that the smoke and soot put out by all of the factories that sprung
               up across Britain caused a darkening of the tree trunks in many areas, particularly near urban industrial centers.
               Originally, tree trunks had been covered with light-colored lichens, but after the industrial revolution, these lichens
               and the tree trunks they covered became dark in these areas; many likens were killed.

          4.  Kettlewell's hypothesis:  Because moths spend a great deal of time during the day resting on tree trunks, Kettlewell
               reasoned that they are probably exposed to a great deal of predation by birds and other animals.  It would therefore
               benefit a moth to be cryptically colored, so that it will blend in well with the background of the tree trunk on which
               it rests.

              a.  Individuals that were more cryptically colored would tend to escape notice by predators to a greater extent, and
                   thus would tend to have a survival advantage over non-cryptically colored individuals.
              b.  Kettlewell postulated that before the industrial revolution, the pepper form blended in with the light-colored
                   background of tree trunks, whereas the black morph was conspicuous, leading to selection against the melanic
                   morphs.  This genotype would thus be held at very low frequency.
              c.  With the change in tree trunk color associated with industrialization, however, the melanic forms became
                   cryptically colored and the pepper forms became conspicuous.  Under such situations, the rare melanic mutants
                   would enjoy a survival advantage and increase in frequency until the pepper forms were eliminated from
              d.  Visual inspection of the degree of crypsis on dark and light tree trunks supports this hypothesis.
                   (click here for Picture)

        5.  Experimental test of the hypothesis. I. Compare survival of melanic and pepper moths.
 
              a.  Mark-release-recapture experiment.  Released several hundred marked individuals of both morphs into two
                   types of woodlands:
                  --  One woodland near a big city; poluted; trunks darkened with soot.
                  --  One woodland more rural, relatively unpolluted; tree trunks not darkened.
              b.  Recaptured using caged females emitting pheromones.
              c.  Reasoning:  if dark morphs have survival advantage in polluted woods, should recapture more dark morphs than
                   pepper morphs.  By contrast, if pepper morphs have survival advantage in unpolluted woods, should recapture
                   more pepper moths there.
              d.  Results:

                                          %Recaptured
                    Woodland    Melanics    Pepper

                    Urban            27.5           13.0
                    Rural               6.3           12.5

              e.  This experiment showed that the melanic form did indeed enjoy a survival advantage in polluted woodlands, while
                   the reverse was true in unpolluted areas.  However, Kettelwell still had not shown that this differential survival was
                   caused by differential susceptibility to predation.

          6.  Experimental test of the hypothesis. II. Differential predation

              a.  Placed recently-killed moths of each morph on treetrunks in the two types of woodland.
              b.  Sat in blind and observed what happened to moths placed out.  In particular, counted the number of individuals of
               each morph eaten by birds.
              c.  Results

                                            No. moths eaten by birds
                    Woodland            Melanics        Pepper

                    Urban                     15                  43
                    Rural                     164                 26

              d.  Interpretation:  Kettlewell's hypothesis is confirmed.  In the polluted environment, more pepper morphs are eaten,
                   while in the unpolluted environment, more melanic morphs are eaten.

          7.  Summary:

              a.  Intustrial melanism is genetically controlled by a single locus in B. betularia.
              b.  Populations have undergone evolutionary change in color pattern.
              c.  That change is consistent with the interpretation that it was due to natural selection, in that there is differential
                   survival of the genotypes caused by differential predation on a particular background.
              d.  Results confirm qualitative prediction of equation for gene frequency change.

          8.  Additional points

              a.  Industrial melanism is seen in more than 70 species of British moths, and all show patterns similar to that seen
                   in B. betularia.
              b.  At least one prediction based on Kettlewell's work has come true: since the imposition of pollution control
                   devices on many of Britain's factories in the 1950's, pollution has decreased markedly in many areas.  As a
                   result, many of the formerly polluted woodlands have returned to their original condition, in which the color
                   of the tree trunks is light and mottled.  As would be expected from Kettlewell's work, the melanic forms that
                   were once so prevalent in these areas have almost disappeared.

          9.  Properties of evolution by natural selection illustrated by this example.

              a.  Natural selection is directional.
                  --  Allele favored by selection starts out at low frequency, gradually but steadily increases until it eliminates
                       the original allele.
                  --  The outcome of selection is more or less predictable.  Given a particular population, we can predict almost
                       with certainty that the allele favored by selection will eliminate the other allele.  This property is illustrated by
                       the fact that of the 70 British moth species that exhibit melanic variants, all species exhibit fixation of the
                       melanic form in areas of heavy industrial pollution.
              b.  Which allele is favored depends on the environment.
                  --  Although in any one environment one allele may be favored over another by natural seleciton, a change
                       in the environment may reverse the relative survival values of the two alleles.
                  --  Melanism was selected for in woodlands near polluted urban centers, but when pollution was reduced, or
                       in areas where it was never common, the melanic form lost its survival advantage and was quickly
                       eliminated from the population.
                  --  Thus, we may speak of the relative advantage of one allele over another only with respect to a
                       particular environment.
              c.  Natural selection can be quite rapid.
                  --  Although one commonly thinks of evolutionary changes occurring over times measured by geological eras,
                       the Pepper moth example demonstrates that evolutionary change can occur quite quickly, in this case over
                       periods of approximately 100 years.
                  --  There should be little doubt, then, that there has been ample time over the last 1 billion years of the earth's
                       history for natural selection to generate the variety of organisms we see about us in the world today.

          10.  Limitations of this study.

                  --  Not all aspects of fitness were measured.  It is conceivable that if male mating success, survival during the
                       larval stages, etc., had been measured, the picture obtained would turn out not to be consistent with theory.
 

  B.  Other similar examples

          1.  Evolution of warfarin resistance in rats (see Explanation)
          2.  Evolution of DDT resistance in mosquitoes (see Explanation)
 
   


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