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LECTURE 24:    THE EVOLUTION OF AGING AND SENESCENCE

I.  Introduction

    A.  Definition of Senescence

        1.  Senescence in humans usually connotes a rapid deterioration of physical and mental capacity
              that begins at an advanced age.

        2.  Generally, this deterioration leads to increased proability of mortality per unit time.

        3.  As will become evident shortly, similar rapid increases in probability of mortality, associated
             with physiological deterioration, occur in many, if not most, organisms.

        4.  In every-day life, we recognize senescence in terms of the outward manifestation of the
             aging process.

        5.  However, from an evolutionary perspective, we wish to define senescence in terms of its
             effects on fitness.

        6.  Consequently, evolutionary biologists use the following definition of senescence:  Senescence
             (or aging) is a persistent decline in age-specific fitness components of an organism due to
             internal physiological deterioration. (From M. R. Rose)

            a.  By fitness component, evolutionary biologists mean either probability of survival per
                 unit time or fecundity (number of offspring produced per unit time)
            b.  Consequently, evolutionary biologists consider senescence to occur if, as organisms
                 age, either the probability of mortality increases or the number of offspring produced
                 per unit time decreases.

    B.  Recoginzing senescence
 
        1.  Senescence manifested as an increased probability of mortality over time can be recognized by
             the form of  the survivorship curve for a population.

        2.  A survivorship curve,  l(x), plots the probability that an indivdual is still alive as a function of
             age, x:
 

        3.  Survivorship curve for an a population that does not senesce.

             a.  Absence of senescence means that the probability of mortality does not change as
                  the organism ages.
             b.  Another way of saying this is that for any given time interval (e.g. a year in humans),
                  the probability that an individual will die does not depend on its age.
             c.  If we designate that probability of mortality as  for all ages , then the
                 probability an individual is alive after one time interval is .
            d.  The probability that an individual survives two time intervals is simply

                    P[survives interval 1 and survives interval 2] = P[survives interval 1] x
                                                                                                          P[survives interval 2]

                                                                                       = p2.
            e.  More generally, the probability that it survives x time intervals is just px
            f.  But this just means that the survivorship curve is given by

                        l(x) = px

            g.  But if we recognize that p can be rewritten as a power of e, i.e. p=e-a, then we
                 have
 
     .                    l(x) = (e-a)x = e-ax

            h.  In other words, with no senescence, the survivorship curve of a population is
                 exponentially decreasing, as in part A of the following figure (red line).

            i.  Alternatively, if one plots the logarithm of l(x) as a function of age, one obtains
                a straight line,as depicted in part B of the figure (red line):

                      ln[l(x)] = ln[px] = x ln[p]  (note that ln(p) is a constant < 0)
 

 

        4.  Survivorship curve for a population that senesces

            a.  By definition, a senescent population is one in which the probability of survival
                 per unit time decreases as an individual ages.
            b.  This may be represented by

                      p(x) = pax

                 (note that since p < 1, p(x) decreases as x increases).

            c.  Then,

                        l(x) = p(1) p(2) p(3) p(x)

                               = pa p2ap3a  …  pxa

                               = pax(x-1)/2

            d.  Taking logarithms of both sides of this equation yields
 
                         ln[l(x)] = x(x-1) ln[pa/2]

            e.  This is a concave-downward function, as portrayed in part B of the previous figure (blue line).
            f.  On a linear scale, this survivorship takes the form of one of the red curves in part B
                of the figure.

        5.  Conclusion:  A survivorship curve the shape of the blue curves in part A of the previous figure
             is indicative of senescence.

    C.  Example: Senescence in Drosophila melanogaster. ( Miquel et al. 1976. Effects of temperature on the
          life span, vitality and fine structure of Drosophila melanogaster.  Mech. Ageing Dev. 5: 347-70)

        1.  Laboratory populations set up and proportions of original cohort of adults surviving
             ascertained approximately every five days.
        2.  Different populations maintained under different temperatures (18, 21, 27 and 30°C).
        3.  Results:  As is evident from the figure, the shape of the survivorship curve is strongly
             concave downward, indicative of senescence.

All figures, unless otherwise indicated, are from M. R. Rose.  1991.  Evolutionary Biology of Aging.  Oxford Univ. Press, New York.
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

 

 
        4.  The steep decline in proportion surviving after a particular age, which differs for the
             different temperature treatments, signifies the "normal" lifespan.
        5.  Note that life span is greatly decreases as temperature increases.
        6.  Nevertheless, for a given temperature, there is clearly rapid senescence once the normal
             life span has been achieved.

II.  Genetic Variation for Lifespan

    A.  Strain Differences

        1.  "Common garden" experiments reveal that different strains of Drosophila and other
             organisms differ in average lifespan.

        2.  Example:  Ganetzky and Flanagan.  1978.  On the relationship between senescence and
             age-related changes in two wild-type strains of Drosophila melanogaster.  Exp.
             Gerontol. 13: 189-196.

            a.  Used two inbred lab strains of D. melanogaster (Canton-S and Oregon-R).
            b.  Estimated adult survivorship curves under standardized laboratory conditions
            c.  Senescence begins at substantially eariler age in the Canton-S strain
 

            d.  Implies that genetic differences between the strains affect longevity.
            e.  Difference in longevity is paralleled by general difference in vigour, as indicated by the
                 time it takes 50% of the flies in a vial to climb the sides of a vial:
              f.  Existence of generic variation for longevity implies life-span can evolve!

    B.  Selection for altered lifespan

        1.  A response to artificial selection on lifespan indicates

            a.  presence of genetic variation for longevity
            b.  capability of life-span to evolve.

        2.  Example:  selection for prolonged lifespan in Drosophila subobscura (Wattiaux, J. M.
             1968.  Cumulative parental effects in Drosophila subobscura.  Evolution 22: 406-421.)

            a.  Established laboratory populations and imoposed one of two treatments on
                 each population.
            b.  In both treatments, males and females were allowed to mate soon after emergence.
            c.  Control treatment:  Eggs were collected from females approximately one week after
                 they emerged as adults, and these eggs were used to found the next generation.
            d.  Experimental treatment:  Eggs were collected from females that had survived for six
                 to eight weeks, and these eggs were used to found the next generation.
            e.  Because there was substantial adult mortality before six weeks, the experimental
                 treatment effectively imposed selection for greater female longevity.
            f.   After a number of generations of selection, the survivorship curve was estimated
                 for the experimental and control populations.
            g.  Results:  for both males and females, average longevity was greater in the
                 experimental populations.

 

            h.  Similar results have been obtained with D. pseudoobscura, D. melanogaster, and
                 the flour beetle Tribolium castaneum.

            i.  Conclusion:  Evidence from experiments on four species indicates that natural
                populations are capable of evolving greater longevity if the appropriate selection
                is applied.  In otherwords, these populations show the possibility of evolutionarily
                postponing senescence.

III.  The Issue

    A.  Results of these genetic analyses of senescence raise a fundamental evolutionary question:  if species
          harbor genetic variants for which senescence is postponed, why has natural selection not caused
          these variants to become fixed?  i.e., why have organisms not evolved longer life spans.
 
        1.  A priori, the evolution of prolonged senescence might be expected: individuals that live longer
             would be expected to produce more offspring in their lifetime, and thus pass on more genes
             conferring longer life span to the next generation than individuals that do not live as long.

        2.  Clearly, however, this has not occurred, at least not in the four species discussed above, and
             probably in many other species, including humans.

        3.  And just as clearly, the answer to this question lies in some evolutionary process or processes
             that act to prevent the evolution of greater longevity.

        4.  In the sections below, we will examine what those processes are thought to be.

        5.  In particular, we will consider two evolutionary theories of aging:

            a. The mutation accumulation theory, and
            b. The antagonistic-pleiotropy theory.

        6.  Before doing so, however, we must examine a basic evolutionary principle that underlies both
             of these theories: the intensity of selection acting on a trait expressed late in life is expected
             to be lower than the intensity of selection acting on a trait expressed early in life.

IV.  Age and the Intensity of Selection    A.  Restatement of the principle

        1.  Consider an gene the effects of which are expressed only at a given age .

        2.  Then, if this allele increases the probability of survival over a fixed time interval by a given
             amount, the intensity of selection favoring that allele will decrease as the age  at which
             its effects are expressed increases.

    B.  Illustration of principle.

        1.  First, consider a population fixed for allele A at locus A that has the following characteristics:

            a. The probability of an adult surviving to age  is given by the following table:

                                                     Age
                             1         2         3         4         5         6
                  l(x)     .7        .49      .34     .24       .17      0
                  p(x)    .7        .7        .7        .7        .7        0
 

     (Note: p(x) = l(x) / l(x-1)  )

            b.  The expected number of offspring produced at a given age is the same at all ages;
                 designate this number by k.

        2.  The average number of offspring produced by an indvidal in its lifetime is then

                mAA = .7k + .49k + .34k + .24k + .17k = 1.94k

        3.  This is by definition the fitness of the average individual.

        4.  Now, assume there arises a mutation a that has the following property: it increases the
             probability of survival  p(x) of aa and Aa individuals by 10 percent in at one age.

        5.  Let us calculate the selection coefficient favoring this allele for different ages of expression.

        6.  First, assume that the allele's effects are expressed at age 1.  The allele thus causes some
             advantageous character to occur at an early age.

            a.  This effect increases  p(1) from 0.7 to 0.77.
            b.  The remaining values are unchanged, but the change in  causes  to
                 change for all ages, giving the following values of the survivorship parameters for
                 the new genotypes:

                                                     Age
                               1         2         3         4         5        6
                  l(x)     .77       .54      .38     .26       .18      0
                  p(x)    .77       .7        .7        .7        .7        0
 

            c.  Calculating, as before (see 2. above) the average number of offspring produced by
                 individuals of these genotypes gives

                mAa =  maa =    .77k + .54k + .38k + .26k + .18k = 2.13k
 

            d.  The relative fitnesses of the three genotypes, relativized to the fitness of the Aa
                 genotype, are then

                    WAA mAA / mAa = 1.94k / 2.13k = 0.909

                    WAa mAa / mAa = 2.13k / 2.13k = 1

                    Waa maa / mAa = 2.13k / 2.13k = 1

            e.  The selection coefficient is thus WAa - WAA = 1 - 0.909 = 0.091
 
         7.  Next, let us assume that the effects of allele a on fitness are expressed only very late
              in life, at age 5.

            a.  This means that  p(5) is increased by 10 percent, from 0.7 to 0.77, while the other p(x)
                 are not affected.
            b.  This change in turn means that l(5) changes from 0.17 to 0.18, while the other l(x)
                  are not affected.
            c.  The values of p(x) and l(x) for the new genotypes are then

                                                     Age
                             1         2         3         4         5         6
                  l(x)     .7        .49      .34     .24       .18      0
                  p(x)    .7        .7        .7        .7        .77       0

            d.  Calculating, as before (see 2. above) the average number of offspring produced by
                 individuals of these genotypes gives
 
                mAA = .7k + .49k + .34k + .24k + .18k = 1.95k

            e.  The relative fitnesses of the three genotypes, relativized to the fitness of the Aa
                 genotype, are then

                    WAA mAA / mAa = 1.94k / 1.95k = 0.991

                    WAa mAa / mAa = 1.95k / 1.95k = 1

                    Waa maa / mAa = 1.95k / 1.95k = 1
 
            f.  The selection coefficient is thus WAa - WAA = 1 - 0.991 = 0.009
            g.  This selection coefficient is much smaller than the value of .091 when the a allele acts early
                 in the life span, i.e. selection favoring the mutant allele is weaker when the effects
                 of that allele occur late in life, even if the effect of the allele on age-specific survival
                 is the same magnitude.
 
        8.   Intuitive explanation of this result:

            a.  when a mutation affects survival late in life, most individuals are dead before the
                 effects of the allele are expressed, and therefore a  beneficial allele can only increase
                 the fitness of a small fraction of the individuals that carry it.
            b.  By contrast, when a mutation affects survival early in life, most individuals carrying
                 the mutant allele are alive when the allele is expressed and thus benefit from having
                 that allele.

V.  Evolutionary Theories of Senescence

    A.  Two general theoretical explanations for the evolution of senescence:

        1.  Antagonistic pleiotropy theory

        2.  Mutation acumulation theory

    B.  Antagonistic pleiotropy theory (Due to Medawar and Williams)

        1.  Explanation

            a.  Considers deleterious mutations that have effects in both young and old individuals.
            b.  Three types of such mutations:

                i.  Those that are deleterious when young, advantageous when old.
                ii.  Those that are deleterious when young and deleterious when old
                iii.  Those that are advantageious when young but deleterious when old.

            c.  Of course, timing of expression of deleterious effects is continuous, ranging from
                 very young through intermediate ages, to very old, but for conceptual purposes
                 we divide this continuum into "young" and "old".
            d.  Because of the relationship between age of expression and intensity of seleciton
                 described in previous section, mutations with deleterious effects expressed early
                 but advantageous effects expressed late (category i.) will be selected against
                 because the selection against the allele due to its early deleterious effects will
                 be much stronger than, and overwhelm, selection for the allele due to its late
                 advantageious effects.
            e.  They will therefore not become fixed and will persist at very low frequencies
                 reflecting a mutation-selection balance.
            f.   Similarly, mutations with deleterious effects both early and late (category ii) will
                 also tend to be eliminated and held at low frequencies by selection, which opposes
                 these mutations at all life stages.
            g.  By contrast, the relationship between age of express and intensity of selection
                 implies that mutaitons with advantageous effects early in life, but deleterious effects
                 late in life (e.g. category iii above) will tend to be favored by selection because
                 the intensity of positive selection early in life is greater than the intensity of
                 negative selection late in life.
            h.  These mutations will accumulate, and their deleterious effects late in life will cause
                 late-life fitness (prob. of survival per unit time or age-specific fecundity) to decrease,
                 i.e. their accumulation will lead to senescence.

        2.  Experimental evidence for antagonistic pleiotropy--genetic correlations

            a.  One corollary of the antagonistic pleiotropy theory is that at least some category iii
                 alleles will evolve to high frequency but will not become fixed.
            b.  Variation at such loci should give rise to negative genetic correlations between
                 longevity and early-life fitness: genotypes with, say, high early fecundity should
                 exhibit short longevity, while genotypes with low early fecundity should have
                 greater longevity.
            c.  Quite a few studies have attempted to detect such negative genetic correlations, with
                 some successes.  In particular, the body of literature on Drosophila in general
                 supports the existence of these types of negative genetic correlations.
            d. Example:  Rose and Charlesworth.  1981.  Genetics 97: 173-186.

                    Additive genetic correlation between early fecundity (days 1-5 of adult life)
                    and longevity = -1.43.

                    (NOTE:  The correlation is greater than 1 in absolute value than because it is an
                                    estimate of the true correlation.  While the true correlation can not be
                                    greater than 1 in absolute value, estimates of the true correlation may
                                    be because of errors of measurement.  The value -1.43 indicates a strong
                                    negative genetic correlation approaching a true correlation of -1.)

        3.  Experimental evidence for antagonisitc pleiotropy--selection experiments

            a.  Because of the expected negative genetic correlation between longevity and early
                 fitness described above, selection for increased longevity should cause a correlated
                 decline in early fitness.
            b.  Experiment: Rose. 1984.  Evolution 38: 1004-1010.

                i.  Performed selection experbed above.
                ii. One set of population selected for late reproduction, and hence for
                    increased longevity.
                iii.  Another set of populations was a control with no selection imposed.  
                iv.  At end of selection experiment, measured age-specific fecundity of
                      females in the two treatments.
                v.  Results--found that lines selected for increased longevity showed both
                     increased longevity and reduction in early fecundity (days 1-10 of
                     adult life:

 

        4.  Conclusion:  Both approaches indicate that at least some portion of senescence in Drosophila
             is explained by antagonistic pleiotropy.
 

    C.  Mutation acumulation theory. (Due to Medawar)

        1.  Explanation

            a.  Assumes that there are at least three types of deleterious mutations:

                i.  Those for which deleterious effects are restricted to young individuals
                ii.  Those for which deleterious effects are restricted to old individuals
                iii.  Those for which deleterious effects are expressed in both young and old
                     old individuals.

            b.  Of course, timing of expression of deleterious effects is continuous, ranging from
                 very young through intermediate ages, to very old, but for conceptual purposes
                 we divide this continuum into "young" and "old".
            c.  Because of the relationship between age of expression and intensity of seleciton
                 described in previous section, deleterious mutations expressed early (e.g. categories
                 i. and iii. in a. above will be strongly selected against.
            d.  They will therefore not become fixed and will persist at very low frequencies
                 reflecting a mutation-selection balance.
            e.  By contrast, the relationship between age of express and intensity of selection
                 implies that deleterious mutations expressed late in life (e.g. category ii above)
                 will be only weakly selected against.
            f.  Such mutations are reasonably likely to be fixed by genetic drift and, if not
                 fixed, to occur at fairly high frequencies.
            g.  These mutations, because they are detrimental, cause a decline in probability of
                 survival in old individuals, i.e. senescence.

        2.  Evidence for mutation accumulation: increased genetic variation in age-specific fitness with
             age.

            a.  One expectation of the mutation accumulation theory is that genetic variation for
                 age-specific fecundity or survival should be virtually absent at young ages.
            b.  This expectation arises because the selection intensity against mutations with
                  deleterious effects on fecundity or survival is expected to be high, and thus
                  such mutations are kept at very low frequencies, producing very little genetic
                  variation.
            c.   By contrast, mutations that cause deleterious effects late in life are not strongly
                  selected against and may achieve relatively high frequences, producing substantial
                  genetic variation for late fecundity and/or survival.
            d.  Thus, one pattern predicted by the mutation accumulation theory is that genetic
                  variation for age-specific fitness should increase with age.
            e.  Experimental test: Rose and Charlesworth 1981.

                  i.  Measured additive genetic variance for daily egg production, starting
                    at age of peak fecundity.
                  ii.  Results:  No detectable change in geneic variance as females age:
 

            f.  Other results: few studies of this type have been done.  Of these, one suggests the
                existence of an increase in genetic variation for age-specific fitness with age.

        3.  Experimental evidence for mutation accumulation: selection experiments.

            a.  Logic and protocol of the experiment:
            b.  Select for late reproduction and extended longevity; this should have the
                  effect of greatly decreasing the frequencies of alleles causing senescence.
            c.  Then reverse selection by selecting for early fecundity and survival.
            d.  Two possible outcomes of reversed selection:

                 i.  Results in decrease in late fecundity and/or a decrease in longevity.
                 ii. Results in no decrease in late fecundity or longevity.

            e.  Interpretation of outcomes:

                i.  Outcome i.  indicates alleles with deleterious effects on late fitness have
                    advantageous effects on early fitness and vice versa--indicates antagonistic
                    pleiotropy explains senescence

                ii.  Outcome ii. indicates that alleles with deleterious effects on late fitness
                     do not have advantageous effects on early fitness--indicates mutation
                      accumulation contributes to senescence.

            f.  Example:  Mueller, L. D.  1987.  Proc. Nat. Acad. Sci. 84: 1974-1977.

                i.  When applied selection for early fecundity in D. melanogaster, did
                     not get loss of late fecundity initially (first 30-40 generations), indicating that for this fitness
                     component in the population examined, there was no antagonistic pleiotropy.

                ii.  However, after 120 generations, late fecundity had declined substantially, suggesting that senescence
                     in this laboratory population waisdue largely to mutation accumulation.

    D.  Conclusions

        1.  Analysis of genetic variation for senescence in Drosophila indicates that both antagonistic
             pleiotropy and mutation accumulation contribute to senescence.

        2.  Little information is available for other oragnisms.

IV. Implications of Evolutionary Theories of Senescence

    A.  The major cause of senescence is the decreasing strength of selection as organisms age, which allows
          mutations causing reduced late fitness to increase in frequency or even become fixed.  (Note that this
          is true regardless of whether antagonistic pleiotropy or mutation accumulation applies.)

    B.  Implies that there will be no "general cause" of senescence that acts across species, or even across
          populations.

        1.  In any species or population the exact causes of senescence will depend on what mutations
             having deleterious effects on late fitness increase in frequency, and what characters those
             mutations affect.

        2.  Also implies that senescence in a particular organism may have multiple causes, representing
             different characters affected by different deleterious mutations contributing to senescence.

    C.  Suggests that studying the "cause" of senescence in non-human animals will not be informative
          directly about the causes of senescence in humans, and thus will not provide direct information on
          the types of medical intervention that will be needed to eliminate senescence in humans.

    D.  Nevertheless, exploration of the causes of senescence in other organisms may indirectly benefit
          research in human gerontology by leading to the development of a robust research protocol that
          can be applied to the study of human senescence.

    E.  Hope for a "magic bullet" cure of senescence, however, are slim, because evolutionary considerations
         suggest that once a cure is developed for one senescence factor and lifespan is extended somewhat,
         other senescence factors will kick in to limit lifespan.
   


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