Carbon sequestration strategies highlight tree plantations without considering their full environmental consequences. We combined field research, synthesis of more than 600 observations, and climate and economic modeling to document substantial losses in stream flow, and increased soil salinization and acidification, with afforestation. Plantations decreased stream flow by 227 millimeters per year globally (52%), with 13% of streams drying completely for at least 1 year. Regional modeling of U.S. plantation scenarios suggests that climate feedbacks are unlikely to offset such water losses and could exacerbate them. Plantations can help control groundwater recharge and upwelling but reduce stream flow and salinize and acidify some soils.

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Selected media links: Duke News 12/22/05 | News @ Nature.com 12/22/05 | NPR All Things Considered 12/22/05 | SciDevNet 12/23/05 | The Guardian 12/23/05 | Washington Post 12/26/05 | New York Times 12/27/05 | Christian Science Monitor 1/5/06 | Business Week 1/16/06 | Conservation In Practice April-June 2006